Operations and Service Decision ModelsIntroductionOperations managers make decisions under uncertainty about how much to order, how much capacity to provide, how long customers should wait, when assets should be replaced, and how to detect process deterioration. These decisions are interconnected. Excess inventory may protect service levels but consume working capital; high capacity may reduce queues but leave resources idle; preventive maintenance may reduce failures but increase planned downtime. Quantitative decision models provide disciplined ways to evaluate these trade-offs. This chapter develops an integrated set of models for inventory, queuing, capacity, reliability, replacement, and statistical quality control. The models are simplified representations rather than substitutes for managerial judgment. Their value lies in making assumptions explicit, showing the consequences of alternatives, and supporting sensitivity analysis. Learning ObjectivesBy the end of this chapter, the reader should be able to: - Select and apply appropriate inventory models for independent and uncertain demand.
- Analyse waiting-line performance using standard queuing models.
- Match capacity decisions to demand, variability, and service requirements.
- Use reliability and replacement models to manage asset risk and lifecycle cost.
- Construct and interpret statistical process-control charts.
- Integrate cost, service, resilience, and ethical considerations in operational decisions.
- Critically evaluate assumptions, data quality, and implementation risks.
1. A Decision-Modelling PerspectiveAn operations model normally consists of decision variables, uncertain parameters, an objective, constraints, and performance measures. For example, in an inventory problem, the decision may be an order quantity; demand and lead time are uncertain parameters; the objective may be minimisation of expected annual cost; and a service-level requirement is a constraint. A useful distinction is between design decisions and control decisions. Design decisions include the number of servers, warehouse capacity, or equipment type. Control decisions include reorder points, staffing schedules, inspection frequency, and maintenance timing. Design decisions are relatively infrequent and capital intensive; control decisions are repeated and rely heavily on timely data. The objective should not be restricted to accounting cost. A broader operational objective can include: - total cost and cash usage;
- customer waiting time and fill rate;
- safety, compliance, and product quality;
- carbon emissions and resource consumption;
- resilience to disruption;
- employee workload and fairness.
A model is credible only when its assumptions, units, time horizon, and data-generating process are clear. 2. Inventory Decision ModelsInventory decouples supply from demand and protects operations against uncertainty. Common types include cycle stock created by ordering in batches, safety stock held against uncertainty, pipeline inventory in transit, and anticipation inventory built before predictable peaks. 2.1 Economic Order QuantityThe basic economic order quantity (EOQ) model assumes constant annual demand, instantaneous replenishment, no shortages, fixed ordering cost, constant unit price, and a constant annual holding-cost rate. If annual demand is D units, ordering cost is S monetary units per order, and annual holding cost is H monetary units per unit per year, the total relevant annual cost is: TC(Q) = (D/Q)S + (Q/2)H Here, Q is the order quantity. The first term is annual ordering cost and the second is annual cycle-stock holding cost. Differentiating with respect to Q and setting the derivative to zero gives: Q* = √(2DS/H) The units are consistent: DS/H has units of units², so its square root has units of units. The optimum is a cost minimum because total cost decreases before Q and increases after Q. The number of orders per year is D/Q, and the average time between orders is Q/D years. If working days per year are T, the cycle time in days is TQ*/D. Worked example. Annual demand is 24,000 units, ordering cost is £75 per order, and annual holding cost is £2.40 per unit. Q* = √[(2 × 24,000 × 75)/2.40] = √1,500,000 ≈ 1,225 units Annual ordering cost is approximately (24,000/1,225)×75 = £1,469. Annual holding cost is approximately (1,225/2)×2.40 = £1,470. The near equality is a property of the EOQ optimum. The model does not imply that every order must be exactly 1,225 units: supplier pack sizes, transport economics, discounts, and cash constraints may justify adjustment. 2.2 Economic Production QuantityWhen replenishment occurs gradually while demand continues, the maximum inventory is less than Q. If the production rate is p units per time period and demand rate is d, with p > d, the economic production quantity is: Q* = √[2DS / (H(1 − d/p))] The factor 1 − d/p reflects the lower average inventory. This model applies to an internal or external production process with a stable production rate and no shortages. 2.3 Reorder Point and Safety StockThe reorder point is the inventory position at which replenishment should be initiated. With constant demand rate d and lead time L: ROP = dL If demand during lead time is uncertain, a common form is: ROP = μLT + zσLT where μ_LT is mean lead-time demand, σ_LT is its standard deviation, z is the standard-normal quantile associated with the target cycle-service level, and zσ_LT is safety stock. This formulation assumes demand during lead time is approximately normal and that the desired service probability is correctly represented by z. If daily demand has mean μ_d and standard deviation σ_d, lead time is a constant L days, and daily demands are independent, then: μLT = Lμd σLT = σd√L If both demand and lead time are random and independent, with mean lead time μ_L and standard deviation σ_L, an often-used approximation is: σLT = √(μLσd² + μd²σL²) The approximation omits a variance interaction term; it is most defensible when variability is moderate. If demand and lead time are correlated, simulation or an empirically estimated lead-time-demand distribution is preferable. Worked example. Daily demand has mean 100 units and standard deviation 20 units. Lead time is five days and constant. For a 95% cycle-service level, z ≈ 1.645. μLT = 5 × 100 = 500 σLT = 20√5 ≈ 44.72 ROP = 500 + 1.645(44.72) ≈ 574 units Thus, an order is released when inventory position falls to approximately 574 units. A cycle-service level is the probability of avoiding a stockout during a replenishment cycle; it is not the same as fill rate, which is the proportion of demand supplied immediately from stock. 2.4 Quantity Discounts and Uncertain DemandEOQ is not automatically optimal when unit prices change with quantity. The manager should calculate the relevant total cost at each feasible price-break quantity and at the EOQ associated with that price, retaining only quantities eligible for the corresponding price. The total cost should include purchase cost: TC(Q) = DC + (D/Q)S + (Q/2)H where C is unit purchase price. If holding cost is a percentage i of unit price, H = iC, so a discount can reduce purchase cost but also reduce or increase holding cost depending on the pricing convention. For a single selling season, the newsvendor model balances overage and underage costs. Let Cu be the cost of ordering one unit too few and Co the cost of ordering one unit too many. The critical fractile is: P(Demand ≤ Q*) = Cu/(Cu + Co) This model is useful for perishables, fashion products, and capacity reservations with one principal selling opportunity. It assumes a known or estimated demand distribution and clearly defined salvage and shortage consequences. 2.5 Inventory GovernanceOperationally sound inventory control requires accurate item masters, cycle counting, lead-time measurement, demand classification, and exception reporting. ABC analysis prioritises management attention by annual usage value, typically annual demand multiplied by unit value. It should be supplemented by criticality analysis: a low-value spare part may be operationally vital. Forecast error, supplier reliability, obsolescence, and substitution possibilities should be incorporated into policy reviews. 3. Queuing and Service SystemsA queue forms when demand for service temporarily exceeds available service capacity. The principal managerial trade-off is between the cost of capacity and the cost of waiting. Waiting may occur physically, virtually, or within a process as work-in-progress. 3.1 Basic Terminology and Little’s LawThe arrival rate λ is the average number of arrivals per time unit; the service rate μ is the average service completions per server per time unit; and s is the number of parallel servers. Utilisation is: ρ = λ/(sμ) For a stable system, ρ < 1. Little’s Law applies under broad steady-state conditions: L = λW L is the average number in the system and W is average time in the system, measured in consistent time units. For the queue alone, L_q = λW_q. Little’s Law is an accounting identity for flow and time, not a claim that arrivals or service are random. 3.2 The M/M/1 ModelThe M/M/1 model assumes Poisson arrivals, exponentially distributed service times, one server, first-come-first-served discipline, an unlimited calling population, and a stable steady state. With arrival rate λ and service rate μ: ρ = λ/μ Lq = ρ²/(1 − ρ) Wq = Lq/λ = ρ/[μ(1 − ρ)] L = ρ/(1 − ρ), W = 1/(μ − λ) Worked example. A help desk receives 18 calls per hour and one agent handles 24 calls per hour on average. Therefore ρ = 18/24 = 0.75. Lq = 0.75²/(1 − 0.75) = 2.25 customers Wq = 2.25/18 = 0.125 hours = 7.5 minutes The average time in the system is W = 1/(24−18) = 1/6 hour = 10 minutes. The system is stable, but the nonlinear increase in waiting as utilisation approaches 1 is strategically important. 3.3 Multiple Servers and Model ChoiceFor an M/M/s system, arrivals are Poisson, service times are exponential, and s identical servers operate in parallel. Define a = λ/μ and ρ = λ/(sμ). The probability that no customer is in the system is: P₀ = [∑ from n=0 to s−1 (aⁿ/n!) + aˢ/(s!(1−ρ))]⁻¹ The expected queue length is: Lq = [P₀aˢρ]/[s!(1−ρ)²] Then W_q = L_q/λ and W = W_q + 1/μ. These expressions are appropriate only if the assumptions are reasonably credible. For general service-time distributions, the M/G/1 model uses the Pollaczek–Khinchine result: Wq = λE(S²)/[2(1−ρ)] where S is service time and ρ = λE(S). This shows why variability matters: E(S²) increases as service-time variance increases. A manager can reduce waiting not only by adding servers but also by standardising work, separating simple and complex cases, or reducing service-time variability. 3.4 Queue Design Beyond the FormulaAverages can conceal inequity. Priority rules, appointment systems, balking, reneging, finite waiting space, and time-varying arrivals may materially change outcomes. In call centres, service-level measures often include the percentage answered within a target time, abandonment, and first-contact resolution. In healthcare, queue design must also reflect clinical urgency rather than merely first-come-first-served order. Simulation is preferable when arrivals vary by hour, resources are shared across stages, customers require multiple activities, or service disciplines are complex. Data should be analysed at the time interval at which congestion actually changes. 4. Capacity Decisions and Service LevelsCapacity is the maximum sustainable output of a process under specified conditions. Design capacity is the theoretical maximum; effective capacity allows for breaks, maintenance, setups, product mix, and normal losses; actual output is what is achieved. Two common measures are: Utilisation = Actual output/Design capacity Efficiency = Actual output/Effective capacity These ratios must not be interpreted identically. High utilisation may indicate productivity, but in a variable system it can create long queues, overtime, quality failures, and fragility. Capacity should therefore be planned against demand distributions rather than average demand alone. 4.1 Capacity Cushion and Demand UncertaintyA capacity cushion can be represented as: Capacity cushion = (Capacity − Expected demand)/Capacity It is not a universal optimum. A hospital emergency department, semiconductor plant, and low-cost parcel hub require different cushions because shortage consequences differ. Scenario analysis should test peak demand, supplier disruption, absenteeism, equipment failure, and recovery time. A practical capacity process is: - Forecast demand by segment and time period.
- Translate demand into workload using processing times and resource requirements.
- Identify bottlenecks and variability sources.
- Compare alternatives such as overtime, cross-training, outsourcing, postponement, or capital expansion.
- Evaluate total cost, service, resilience, and implementation risk.
- Review actual performance and update assumptions.
Bottleneck analysis is especially important because adding capacity at a non-bottleneck may not increase system throughput. The relevant capacity is often the capacity of the constraint, adjusted for yield and downtime. 5. Reliability and Maintenance DecisionsReliability is the probability that an item performs its required function for a specified time under stated conditions. If T is failure time, the reliability function is: R(t) = P(T > t) The failure distribution is F(t) = P(T ≤ t) = 1 − R(t). The hazard rate is the instantaneous conditional failure rate: h(t) = f(t)/R(t) where f(t) is the failure-time density. Reliability is not the same as availability. Availability also depends on repair time and logistics. 5.1 Exponential Reliability ModelFor a constant failure rate λ_f per operating hour: R(t) = e^(−λf t) The mean time to failure is MTTF = 1/λ_f. This model is suitable for a useful-life period with approximately constant hazard, but not necessarily for infant mortality or wear-out. For a repairable system with mean time between failures MTBF and mean time to repair MTTR, steady-state inherent availability is approximated by: A = MTBF/(MTBF + MTTR) This excludes some delays such as waiting for parts, technicians, or approvals. Operational availability should include those delays when they affect service. 5.2 Series and Parallel SystemsFor independent components in a series system, the system works only if every component works: Rseries(t) = ∏ from i=1 to n Ri(t) For independent identical components in a parallel redundant system, the system works if at least one component works: Rparallel(t) = 1 − ∏ from i=1 to n [1 − Ri(t)] Independence is a strong assumption. Common-cause failures, shared power, software defects, and environmental events can invalidate the apparent benefit of redundancy. 5.3 Preventive and Predictive MaintenanceCorrective maintenance waits for failure; preventive maintenance replaces or services an item according to age or usage; predictive maintenance uses condition information to estimate degradation and intervene when risk justifies action. The decision should compare maintenance cost, failure consequence, downtime, safety, spare-part availability, and residual life. Condition-monitoring models can generate false alarms and missed detections. Governance therefore requires validated sensors, thresholds, human review, cybersecurity, audit trails, and a clear responsibility for acting on alerts. AI-based predictive maintenance should be evaluated by avoided downtime and lifecycle cost, not by model accuracy alone. 6. Replacement and Lifecycle DecisionsReplacement decisions concern whether to retain an asset, replace it with a new one, or adopt a different technology. The relevant comparison is economic and operational, not simply the asset’s book value. Book value is often a sunk cost; opportunity cost, salvage value, operating cost, reliability, and risk are forward-looking. For an asset with purchase cost P, salvage value S_n at the end of year n, and operating cost C_t in year t, the equivalent annual cost (EAC), using discount rate r, can be found from: PVn = P + ∑ from t=1 to n [Ct/(1+r)t] − Sn/(1+r)n EACn = PVn × [r(1+r)n]/[(1+r)n − 1] The annuity factor converts present value into an equal annual cost over n years. The formula assumes a constant discount rate and comparable service output. If operating costs, inflation, tax, or capacity differ substantially, a full discounted-cash-flow model is required. Worked example. An asset costs £50,000, has annual operating cost £8,000, salvage value £10,000 after four years, and r = 10%. The present value of costs is: PV4 = 50,000 + 8,000(1/1.1 + 1/1.1² + 1/1.1³ + 1/1.1⁴) − 10,000/1.1⁴ Using the factors 0.9091, 0.8264, 0.7513, and 0.6830, the operating-cost present value is approximately £25,359 and the salvage present value is approximately £6,830. Thus PV₄ ≈ £68,529. The capital-recovery factor is approximately 0.3155, giving EAC ≈ £21,620 per year. This figure should be compared with the EAC of replacement alternatives, including equivalent output and risk. Replacement models should include downtime, learning effects, energy use, regulatory compliance, cybersecurity support, and the option value of waiting for a new technology. A technically cheaper asset may be inferior if it creates unacceptable operational risk. 7. Statistical Quality ControlStatistical process control (SPC) distinguishes common-cause variation, inherent in a stable process, from special-cause variation, attributable to an identifiable change. Control charts are decision tools for detecting instability, not certificates that a process is capable of meeting specifications. 7.1 Variable and Attribute ChartsFor measurements such as diameter or processing time, an X̄ chart monitors subgroup means and an R chart or S chart monitors within-subgroup variation. When process parameters are known, three-sigma limits for an X̄ chart are: UCLX̄ = μ + 3σ/√n CLX̄ = μ LCLX̄ = μ − 3σ/√n Here μ and σ are the process mean and individual-observation standard deviation, and n is subgroup size. In practice, μ and σ are estimated from baseline data. Estimated limits should not be recalculated after every unusual point, because doing so can conceal a shift. For a fraction nonconforming p chart with subgroup size n and estimated fraction p̄: UCLp = p̄ + 3√[p̄(1−p̄)/n] LCLp = p̄ − 3√[p̄(1−p̄)/n] The lower limit is truncated at zero if it is negative. These limits use a binomial approximation and are most appropriate when units are independently classified as conforming or nonconforming. Variable sample sizes require adjusted limits. For defect counts per unit under a Poisson assumption, a c chart may be used when the area of opportunity is constant. A u chart is more appropriate when the number of opportunities or inspection-unit size varies. 7.2 Process CapabilityIf a process is stable and approximately normal, capability indices compare process spread and centring with specification limits. With upper specification USL, lower specification LSL, process mean μ, and standard deviation σ: Cp = (USL − LSL)/(6σ) Cpk = min[(USL − μ)/(3σ), (μ − LSL)/(3σ)] Cp measures potential capability if centred; Cpk also reflects off-centre performance. Capability indices are meaningless when the process is unstable, when the distribution is materially non-normal without suitable transformation, or when specifications are not linked to customer and safety requirements. 7.3 Control-Chart InterpretationA point beyond a control limit is evidence of a possible special cause, not proof of a defective product. Runs, trends, cycles, and unusual clustering may also signal instability. The response should be: preserve traceability, investigate the process, identify a plausible cause, correct it, and document the decision. Tampering—adjusting a stable process after every random fluctuation—can increase variation. Quality should be designed into the process through error-proofing, standard work, supplier controls, and feedback. Inspection alone detects problems after resources have been consumed. 8. Integrated Illustrative Case: Northbridge Medical LogisticsThe following is a fictional illustrative case. Background and problemNorthbridge Medical Logistics distributes temperature-sensitive medicines to regional hospitals. It faces stockouts of emergency items, long picking queues on Monday mornings, and failures of refrigeration units. Management is considering more inventory, an additional picking shift, condition monitoring, and tighter quality controls. AnalysisDemand for a critical medicine averages 240 packs per day with a standard deviation of 36. Supplier lead time is four days. Assuming independent daily demand and a 99% cycle-service target, z ≈ 2.326: μLT = 4 × 240 = 960 σLT = 36√4 = 72 ROP = 960 + 2.326(72) ≈ 1,127 packs This calculation provides a starting policy, but the company must check whether demand is seasonal, whether lead time varies, and whether emergency demand is correlated with supplier disruption. A service-level target alone does not determine the economically best policy. The Monday picking queue is modelled initially as an M/M/2 system. Arrivals average 50 orders per hour and each picker processes 30 orders per hour. Utilisation is 50/(2×30) = 0.833. This is below one, but sufficiently high that variability may create material waiting. Management therefore tests a third picker during the two-hour peak rather than staffing three pickers all day. The decision is evaluated using waiting cost, labour cost, order lateness, and cross-training feasibility. Refrigeration records show an average time between failures of 1,200 hours and average repair time of 12 hours. Approximate inherent availability is: A = 1,200/(1,200 + 12) ≈ 0.9901 The apparently high availability may nevertheless be unacceptable if one failure destroys a high-value shipment. The company therefore adds temperature alarms, a tested backup power supply, and a contingency transfer agreement. It does not assume that duplicate refrigeration units are independent, because both may lose power during the same outage. For quality, the firm establishes an X̄ chart for packing temperature and a p chart for damaged labels. Baseline data are collected before limits are finalised. A recurring Monday shift is investigated as a potential special cause rather than treated as random noise. Approach and outcomeNorthbridge adopts a segmented policy: high-criticality medicines receive higher protection and supplier-risk review; routine items use lower-cost replenishment. A peak-only staffing plan is implemented with trained reserve workers. Predictive alarms are used for refrigeration, but every alert is reviewed against sensor health and maintenance history. Control-chart signals trigger structured investigation, not automatic adjustment. After a pilot period, the company reports fewer emergency stockouts, lower Monday lateness, and earlier detection of refrigeration deterioration. The outcome is not attributed to one formula: it results from combining inventory policy, capacity timing, reliability controls, and process discipline. Learning points- Service requirements should be translated into explicit probabilistic and operational measures.
- Average capacity is insufficient when demand and service times vary.
- Reliability calculations must consider common-cause failures and consequence severity.
- Statistical signals are useful only when linked to a response process.
- Segmentation prevents expensive protection from being applied uniformly to low-risk items.
9. Limitations, Governance, and Contemporary PracticeThe models in this chapter generally assume stable parameters, reliable observations, and a reasonably specified probability distribution. In practice, demand may be nonstationary, data may be censored by stockouts, and operational changes may alter the process being measured. Model risk includes parameter error, structural misspecification, omitted constraints, and false precision. Managers should therefore use sensitivity analysis, scenario analysis, and, where appropriate, discrete-event simulation. A robust decision may be preferable to the mathematically optimal decision under one fragile forecast. Stress tests should include disruption, cyberattack, extreme weather, labour shortages, and supplier failure. Ethically, service prioritisation must not unfairly disadvantage vulnerable customers. Healthcare queues require clinically defensible rules; algorithmic staffing and inspection systems require explainability and human accountability. Data used for predictive maintenance or workforce scheduling should respect privacy, security, and employment obligations. Automation should augment professional judgment rather than create an unreviewable chain of decisions. Contemporary operations practice combines enterprise-resource-planning data, Internet-of-Things sensors, digital twins, optimisation, and machine learning. These technologies improve visibility but do not remove the need for causal reasoning. A forecast can be accurate on average while systematically underestimating rare, high-consequence events. AI systems should be monitored for drift, calibration, bias, cybersecurity exposure, and operational impact. Best-Practice Checklist- Define the decision, objective, horizon, and service measure before selecting a model.
- Align time units, cost units, and data aggregation levels.
- Record assumptions and test their sensitivity.
- Separate stable-process monitoring from specification compliance.
- Include variability, bottlenecks, common-cause failures, and disruption scenarios.
- Use segmentation rather than one policy for all products or customers.
- Validate models with historical and prospective data.
- Establish ownership for exceptions, alerts, and corrective action.
- Review models after changes in technology, demand, suppliers, or regulation.
- Present ranges and scenarios, not unjustified point precision.
Chapter SummaryOperations and service decision models formalise recurring trade-offs between cost, speed, quality, capacity, reliability, and resilience. EOQ balances ordering and holding costs under restrictive assumptions; reorder-point models add protection against demand and lead-time uncertainty. Queuing models explain why waiting rises sharply as utilisation approaches capacity and why reducing variability can be as valuable as adding resources. Capacity analysis must distinguish design capacity, effective capacity, bottlenecks, and service-level risk. Reliability models quantify survival, failure, repair, availability, and redundancy, while replacement analysis compares forward-looking lifecycle costs using discounted cash flow and equivalent annual cost. Statistical process control separates common-cause from special-cause variation, and capability indices should be used only after process stability has been established. Across all models, assumptions, data quality, dependence, variability, and consequences matter. Technology and AI can improve sensing and prediction, but governance, human accountability, and resilience remain managerial responsibilities. Key TermsEOQ: Order quantity that minimises relevant ordering and holding costs under the basic inventory assumptions. Reorder point: Inventory position at which replenishment is initiated. Safety stock: Inventory held to protect against uncertainty in demand or replenishment. Cycle-service level: Probability of avoiding a stockout during a replenishment cycle. Fill rate: Proportion of total demand supplied immediately from available stock. Newsvendor model: Single-period model balancing underage and overage costs. Arrival rate: Average number of customers or jobs entering a system per unit time. Service rate: Average completion rate of one server per unit time. Utilisation: Fraction of available capacity being used. Little’s Law: Relationship L = λW between average inventory, flow rate, and time. Bottleneck: Resource or stage that constrains system throughput. Capacity cushion: Capacity maintained beyond expected demand. Reliability: Probability that an item performs its required function for a stated time. Hazard rate: Conditional instantaneous rate of failure. Availability: Proportion of time a repairable asset is operational. Preventive maintenance: Planned intervention before anticipated failure. Equivalent annual cost: Equal annual cost equivalent to an asset’s discounted lifecycle cost. Statistical process control: Use of statistical signals to monitor process stability. Process capability: Ability of a stable process to meet specification limits. Common-cause variation: Natural variation produced by the existing process system. Review QuestionsShort Answer Questions- What assumptions underlie the basic EOQ model?
- Distinguish cycle-service level from fill rate.
- State Little’s Law and define its variables.
- Why can high utilisation increase waiting disproportionately?
- Explain the difference between reliability and availability.
Long Answer Questions- Explain how demand and lead-time uncertainty affect reorder-point policy. Include the assumptions behind the normal approximation.
- Compare M/M/1, M/M/s, and M/G/1 queuing models and discuss when simulation is preferable.
- Discuss how capacity planning should incorporate variability, bottlenecks, and resilience rather than average demand alone.
- Explain how preventive, predictive, and corrective maintenance differ in cost and risk implications.
- Describe how control charts and capability indices should be used together in a quality-management system.
Analytical / Application Questions- Daily demand is normally distributed with mean 80 units and standard deviation 15 units. Lead time is constant at six days. Calculate the reorder point for a 95% cycle-service level using z = 1.645, and explain one limitation of the calculation.
- A service centre receives 12 customers per hour and one agent serves 16 per hour. Use the M/M/1 model to calculate utilisation, average queue length, and average waiting time in the queue. Interpret the result for staffing.
- A firm is choosing between retaining an asset for three years and replacing it immediately. Design a lifecycle-cost analysis that includes discounting, operating cost, salvage value, downtime, reliability, and sensitivity to the discount rate. State which data would be required before making the decision.
Multiple Choice Questions with AnswersQuestion 1Under the basic EOQ assumptions, which change increases the optimal order quantity? A. An increase in annual holding cost B. An increase in ordering cost C. A decrease in annual demand D. A decrease in supplier lead time Correct Answer: B. An increase in ordering cost Question 2Daily demand has mean 100 units and constant five-day lead time. If daily demand standard deviation is 20 units, what is the standard deviation of lead-time demand under independent demand? A. 20 units B. 44.72 units C. 100 units D. 500 units Correct Answer: B. 44.72 units Question 3In an M/M/1 queue with arrival rate 18 per hour and service rate 24 per hour, utilisation is: A. 0.25 B. 0.50 C. 0.75 D. 1.33 Correct Answer: C. 0.75 Question 4Which statement correctly expresses Little’s Law? A. L = μW B. L = λW C. W = λL D. ρ = λW Correct Answer: B. L = λW Question 5A stable single-server queue has arrival rate 10 per hour and service rate 12 per hour. Its utilisation is: A. 0.20 B. 0.83 C. 1.20 D. 2.00 Correct Answer: B. 0.83 Question 6If MTBF is 900 hours and MTTR is 10 hours, approximate inherent availability is: A. 0.890 B. 0.989 C. 0.111 D. 90.0 Correct Answer: B. 0.989 Question 7For two independent components in a series system, system reliability is: A. The sum of their reliabilities B. The larger component reliability C. The product of their reliabilities D. One minus the product of their reliabilities Correct Answer: C. The product of their reliabilities Question 8A process capability index that reflects both process spread and off-centre mean is: A. Cp B. Cpk C. ρ D. MTBF Correct Answer: B. Cpk Question 9A p chart is primarily used to monitor: A. The fraction of nonconforming units B. The average service time only C. The number of servers D. The discounted cost of equipment Correct Answer: A. The fraction of nonconforming units Question 10Why should capability indices generally be interpreted only after establishing statistical control? A. Control limits eliminate all specification limits B. An unstable process has no reliable, consistent distribution for capability assessment C. Capability indices apply only to queues D. A stable process cannot have variation Correct Answer: B. An unstable process has no reliable, consistent distribution for capability assessment
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