Political Systems, Government and GeopoliticsIntroductionInternational business does not operate in an institutional vacuum. Firms make investment, sourcing, financing, employment, pricing, and market-entry decisions within political systems that determine property rights, taxation, regulation, public procurement, trade policy, labor rules, and access to infrastructure. Political decisions also shape the international environment through alliances, sanctions, military competition, diplomacy, and economic statecraft. Political risk is therefore broader than the possibility of a coup or civil conflict. A democratically elected government may unexpectedly change taxation or industrial regulation; an authoritarian government may provide policy continuity while limiting legal recourse; a geopolitical dispute may disrupt shipping, technology transfers, or payment systems even when commercial relations initially appear stable. Managers must understand both domestic political institutions and the international distribution of power. This chapter examines political systems, ideologies, government–business relationships, political stability, industrial policy, sanctions, economic nationalism, geopolitical rivalry, and country risk. The aim is not to label countries permanently, but to provide analytical tools for comparing institutional environments and making responsible business decisions. Learning ObjectivesBy the end of this chapter, you should be able to: - Compare major political systems and explain their implications for international business.
- Distinguish political ideologies from forms of government and economic systems.
- Analyze different government–business relationships and forms of state intervention.
- Assess political stability, country risk, sanctions exposure, and geopolitical rivalry.
- Explain industrial policy, economic nationalism, and strategic autonomy.
- Apply structured political-risk analysis to international business decisions.
- Evaluate ethical, legal, and governance responsibilities in politically complex environments.
1. Political Systems and the Business EnvironmentA political system is the set of institutions, rules, practices, and power relationships through which collective decisions are made and authority is exercised. It includes constitutions, legislatures, executives, courts, political parties, bureaucracies, elections, security institutions, civil society, and informal networks. Political systems are commonly compared along several dimensions: - Participation: Who can influence political decisions?
- Competition: Can power holders be challenged through elections or other lawful means?
- Constraint: Are government decisions limited by law, courts, constitutions, or oversight bodies?
- Accountability: Can officials be investigated, removed, or sanctioned?
- Capacity: Can the state implement decisions effectively?
- Predictability: Can firms anticipate how rules will be made and enforced?
These dimensions should not be reduced to a simple democratic–authoritarian scale. A state may have competitive elections but weak administrative capacity. Another may restrict political competition yet possess an efficient bureaucracy and relatively predictable commercial regulation. For business, the relevant question is how institutions affect risk, opportunity, and the enforceability of commitments. Democracy and constitutional governmentIn a democracy, citizens participate in choosing political leaders, usually through elections. In a constitutional democracy, governmental authority is also constrained by constitutional rules, courts, rights protections, and institutional checks and balances. Democratic systems may encourage transparency, public consultation, and policy debate, but coalition politics, elections, and judicial review can slow decision-making or produce policy reversal. Business implications may include: - greater opportunities to lobby and participate in consultation;
- stronger protection of speech, association, and due process;
- public scrutiny of corporate conduct;
- changing policies after elections;
- more extensive regulation resulting from interest-group competition.
Democracy does not guarantee low corruption, rapid approvals, or investor-friendly policy. Its potential advantage is that firms may have lawful channels for contesting decisions and seeking policy clarification. Authoritarian and hybrid systemsAuthoritarian systems concentrate political power and restrict meaningful political competition. A hybrid or competitive-authoritarian system combines formal elections or representative institutions with substantial restrictions on opposition, media, civil society, or judicial independence. Such systems can sometimes act quickly, coordinate infrastructure investment, and maintain policy continuity. However, risks may include arbitrary enforcement, weak judicial independence, elite capture, censorship, succession uncertainty, and limited ability to challenge officials. A firm may receive favorable treatment from a powerful agency but become vulnerable when political leadership changes. The distinction between formal rules and informal power is particularly important. A commercial law may appear comprehensive, while actual outcomes depend on relationships, political connections, or administrative discretion. Federal and unitary statesA federal state divides authority constitutionally between national and subnational governments. A unitary state concentrates ultimate authority in the national government, although it may delegate substantial powers to regions or municipalities. Federalism can create opportunities for regulatory competition and regional market entry, but it may also produce different taxes, labor requirements, environmental standards, and licensing procedures. In a unitary system, national rules may be more uniform, although local officials can still exercise significant discretion. International firms should distinguish national political risk from regional or municipal risk. 2. Political Ideologies and Economic SystemsPolitical ideology is a set of ideas about authority, rights, equality, order, liberty, and the desirable role of the state. Economic systems concern how resources are owned, allocated, and governed. These concepts overlap but are not identical. A country may combine market competition with extensive welfare provision, or private ownership with strong state direction in strategic industries. LiberalismLiberal traditions emphasize individual rights, rule of law, private property, contractual freedom, and limits on arbitrary government. Classical liberalism generally favors limited government and market coordination. Modern liberalism may support markets together with social protection, public education, competition policy, and regulation of externalities. For firms, liberal institutions can support entrepreneurship and contract enforcement, but they may also impose demanding standards concerning competition, privacy, consumer protection, labor rights, and environmental performance. Social democracySocial democracy accepts a market economy while using taxation, social insurance, collective bargaining, public services, and regulation to pursue social equality and economic security. It does not necessarily imply state ownership of firms. Businesses may face higher labor costs or taxes, but they may also benefit from skilled workforces, social stability, and strong infrastructure. Conservatism and nationalismConservative political traditions often emphasize continuity, social order, national institutions, and gradual change. Their business implications vary widely. Some conservative governments favor deregulation and lower taxes; others emphasize protection of domestic industries, traditional social values, or national control over strategic assets. Nationalism places the nation or national community at the center of political identity. Economic nationalism uses trade, investment, procurement, ownership rules, subsidies, or export controls to strengthen domestic capabilities or reduce dependence on foreign actors. It can create opportunities for local production while restricting foreign market access. Socialism and state-led systemsSocialist traditions generally place greater emphasis on social ownership, economic equality, and collective control over productive resources. In practice, contemporary systems range from mixed economies with public ownership in selected sectors to state-led economies in which government agencies direct credit, investment, and industrial priorities. State ownership can provide access to capital and long-term coordination, but state-owned enterprises may face soft budget constraints, political appointments, or objectives that differ from commercial profitability. Foreign firms must understand whether commercial decisions are made by managers, ministries, political committees, or a combination of these actors. Market, mixed, and command economiesA market economy relies primarily on prices, private ownership, and decentralized decisions. A command economy relies heavily on central planning, administrative allocation, and public ownership. Most modern economies are mixed economies, combining markets with public regulation, taxation, social programs, and state participation. The relevant analytical issue is not whether a country is purely market-based or state-controlled, but how government intervention affects: - entry and ownership;
- access to finance and land;
- competition;
- labor and environmental obligations;
- pricing and procurement;
- data and technology transfer;
- the treatment of domestic and foreign firms.
3. Government–Business RelationshipsThe relationship between government and business is not necessarily adversarial. Governments depend on businesses for employment, tax revenue, innovation, exports, and essential services. Firms depend on government for legal protection, infrastructure, education, monetary stability, and access to markets. The relationship can be understood as a reciprocal but unequal exchange. Government as rule makerGovernments establish company law, contract law, competition policy, tax rules, labor regulation, environmental standards, intellectual-property protection, and sector-specific licensing. Regulation can correct market failures, including pollution, information asymmetry, monopoly power, and systemic financial risk. Regulatory uncertainty arises when rules are vague, enforcement is selective, agencies disagree, or governments change policy without transition arrangements. A stable regulatory environment does not mean light regulation; it means that rules are sufficiently clear, public, consistent, and enforceable. Government as owner, customer, and financierThe state may own enterprises, purchase goods through public procurement, provide loans or guarantees, or invest through sovereign wealth and development funds. Government can therefore be a competitor, customer, partner, and regulator at the same time. This creates opportunities but also raises concerns about conflicts of interest and unfair advantage. Public procurement is especially important in infrastructure, defense, health care, energy, and transportation. Requirements concerning local content, national security, or domestic ownership may influence supplier selection. Firms must distinguish legitimate public-policy requirements from unlawful favoritism or corruption. Government as industrial strategistIndustrial policy consists of deliberate government actions designed to influence the structure, capabilities, or performance of an economy. Instruments include: - research and development grants;
- tax credits;
- infrastructure investment;
- skills and training programs;
- tariffs and quotas;
- export finance;
- local-content rules;
- public procurement preferences;
- investment screening;
- state-owned enterprises;
- restrictions on foreign technology or ownership.
Industrial policy may address coordination failures, infant-industry development, strategic security, regional inequality, or technological upgrading. Its risks include rent-seeking, politically motivated allocation, protection of inefficient firms, fiscal costs, and retaliation by trading partners. 4. Political Stability and Country RiskPolitical stability refers to the continuity and legitimacy of political institutions and the likelihood that political change will occur through established, non-violent procedures. It is not identical to the absence of protest. Peaceful protest may indicate functioning civic participation, whereas apparent calm may conceal severe grievances. Sources of political riskPolitical risk may arise from: - election-related policy change;
- government collapse or succession disputes;
- civil unrest, terrorism, or armed conflict;
- expropriation or forced localization;
- discriminatory regulation;
- capital controls and currency restrictions;
- corruption and bureaucratic obstruction;
- weak courts and contract enforcement;
- sudden tax or licensing changes;
- sanctions and export controls;
- geopolitical confrontation.
A useful distinction is between macro-political risk, affecting the general business environment, and micro-political risk, affecting a particular firm, sector, project, or location. A country may be broadly stable while a foreign-owned mining project faces community conflict, licensing disputes, or nationalization pressure. Country-risk assessmentCountry risk is a structured assessment of how political, economic, legal, social, and security conditions may affect expected business outcomes. A practical assessment should combine quantitative indicators with qualitative investigation. Common information sources include laws and regulations, court decisions, central-bank publications, budget documents, election results, credible journalism, business associations, diplomatic advisories, credit assessments, and local expert interviews. Analysts should avoid treating an index score as a complete answer. Indicators may use different definitions, contain reporting bias, or lag behind events. A strong assessment explains causal mechanisms: which political development could affect which business exposure, through what channel, and with what timing. One simple decision tool is a risk score: R = P × I Here, R is a qualitative or quantitative risk score, P is the estimated probability of an adverse event, and I is its estimated impact. The formula assumes that probability and impact can be meaningfully assessed and that the product is used for prioritization rather than as a precise forecast. If probability is expressed from 0 to 1 and impact is measured in monetary units, R approximates expected loss. If ordinal scales are used, the result is only a screening score and should not be interpreted as currency. For expected monetary loss: EL = ∑ pᵢLᵢ where pᵢ is the probability of scenario i, Lᵢ is the loss if that scenario occurs, and the probabilities across mutually exclusive scenarios sum to 1. This calculation assumes scenarios are sufficiently defined and losses are measured on a comparable basis. It does not capture all strategic effects, such as reputational damage or long-term loss of market access. Scenario analysisScenario analysis is preferable to a single forecast when political outcomes are uncertain. A firm might develop: - Baseline scenario: existing policy continues.
- Adverse scenario: a new government imposes ownership or import restrictions.
- Severe scenario: conflict or sanctions interrupt operations.
- Upside scenario: reforms improve market access and legal certainty.
For each scenario, managers should identify early-warning indicators, exposure, response options, decision triggers, and responsible personnel. This converts political analysis into an operational risk-management process. 5. Sanctions and Economic StatecraftSanctions are restrictions imposed by governments or international organizations to influence the behavior of states, entities, or individuals. They may include asset freezes, travel bans, arms embargoes, financial restrictions, trade prohibitions, technology controls, shipping restrictions, or limits on specific sectors. Sanctions can be: - Comprehensive: broad restrictions on a country or territory;
- Targeted: focused on named persons, firms, agencies, or sectors;
- Primary: applying directly to persons or firms under the issuing jurisdiction;
- Secondary: threatening consequences for third-country actors that engage with sanctioned parties;
- Multilateral: adopted by several states or an international institution;
- Unilateral: imposed by one state or jurisdiction.
The legal reach of sanctions may depend on nationality, incorporation, ownership, currency, financial institutions, technology, transport routes, and the location of conduct. Firms must not assume that a transaction is lawful merely because it occurs outside the sanctioning country. A robust sanctions-compliance program should include customer and counterparty screening, beneficial-ownership checks, transaction monitoring, contractual controls, escalation procedures, employee training, recordkeeping, and periodic legal review. Artificial intelligence can assist with screening and anomaly detection, but it cannot replace legal judgment. Automated systems may produce false positives, miss indirect ownership structures, or reproduce poor-quality data. Sanctions also create ethical dilemmas. Compliance may protect the firm from legal penalties, but withdrawal can affect employees and civilians. Managers must follow applicable law while considering humanitarian exemptions, responsible disengagement, and transparent communication. 6. Economic Nationalism and Strategic CompetitionEconomic nationalism prioritizes national control, domestic employment, strategic resilience, or technological sovereignty over unrestricted economic integration. It may be motivated by security concerns, inequality, deindustrialization, political pressure, or distrust of foreign dependence. Typical measures include tariffs, subsidies, screening of foreign direct investment, export controls, local-content requirements, restrictions on data transfers, public procurement preferences, and support for national champions. These measures may protect strategic capabilities, but they can increase costs, reduce competition, fragment supply chains, and provoke retaliation. The concept of strategic autonomy refers to the ability to make critical decisions and maintain essential capabilities without excessive dependence on external actors. It is particularly relevant to semiconductors, energy, food, pharmaceuticals, telecommunications, defense, and critical minerals. Managers should distinguish between ordinary commercial protectionism and national-security regulation. The latter may apply even where a transaction is economically beneficial because governments judge the technology, infrastructure, data, or supply relationship to have security implications. 7. Geopolitics and International BusinessGeopolitics examines how geography, power, resources, territory, alliances, and strategic interests shape international relations. It affects business through trade routes, energy supplies, investment rules, technology standards, currency systems, and security conditions. Interdependence and vulnerabilityGlobalization creates interdependence: firms depend on suppliers, customers, logistics networks, financial institutions, data systems, and regulatory approvals across borders. Interdependence can produce efficiency and mutual gains, but it can also create vulnerability when a critical node is controlled by a rival state or concentrated in one location. Supply-chain resilience does not mean eliminating all risk or maximizing inventory. It involves identifying critical dependencies, assessing substitutability, developing qualified alternatives, improving visibility, and balancing resilience costs against service and financial objectives. Rivalry among major powersGeopolitical rivalry can produce competing technology ecosystems, investment restrictions, military tensions, diplomatic pressure, and incompatible standards. Firms may face demands from multiple governments that cannot easily be satisfied simultaneously. A technology company, for example, may need to manage export controls, data-localization rules, intellectual-property protection, and conflicting cybersecurity requirements. Geopolitical risk transmissionPolitical events affect firms through several channels: - Trade channel: tariffs, quotas, embargoes, and border delays;
- Financial channel: sanctions, capital controls, exchange-rate volatility, and restricted payments;
- Operational channel: disrupted transport, energy shortages, or labor displacement;
- Legal channel: conflicting regulations and litigation;
- Reputational channel: consumer or investor responses;
- Strategic channel: loss of market access, technology, or partners.
A geopolitical analysis should therefore map not only countries but also products, technologies, currencies, logistics routes, data flows, ownership structures, and key individuals. 8. Applied Case: A Semiconductor Firm and Geopolitical RivalryThe following is an illustrative case synthesized for educational purposes. BackgroundNovaCore, a fictional semiconductor-design and equipment firm headquartered in Country A, plans to build a research and packaging facility in Country B. Country B offers tax incentives, skilled engineers, and access to regional customers. However, Country B has growing political tensions with Country C, a major market for NovaCore’s products and a leading supplier of specialized materials. Country A has introduced export controls on advanced computing technologies. Country C has announced that foreign firms receiving certain subsidies may face procurement restrictions. Country B is considering local data-storage and technology-transfer requirements. ProblemNovaCore must decide whether to proceed with the full investment, create a smaller modular facility, or delay entry. The firm must consider commercial opportunity, regulatory compliance, sanctions exposure, supply-chain dependence, intellectual-property protection, and reputational consequences. AnalysisThe firm establishes an exposure map: | Exposure | Political mechanism | Potential consequence |
|---|
| Advanced design software | Export controls | License denial or delayed development | | Materials from Country C | Geopolitical retaliation | Production interruption | | Facility in Country B | Local-content rules | Higher costs but improved eligibility | | Customers in Country C | Procurement restrictions | Loss of sales | | Cross-border data | Data localization | Duplicated systems and compliance costs | | Skilled personnel | Immigration and security rules | Recruitment delays |
Management then develops three scenarios. Under the baseline, controls remain stable and the facility operates at planned capacity. Under the adverse scenario, Country A expands export controls and Country C restricts materials. Under the severe scenario, relations deteriorate sufficiently to interrupt shipping and prohibit selected transactions. Approach and solutionNovaCore adopts a staged investment rather than an immediate full-scale commitment. It qualifies two material suppliers, separates sensitive research systems from production systems, establishes a sanctions and export-control committee, inserts regulatory-change clauses into contracts, and limits irreversible capital expenditure until licensing conditions are clearer. It also creates a board-level geopolitical dashboard with indicators such as new control-list additions, diplomatic restrictions, shipping disruptions, and procurement rules. The firm does not attempt to evade controls through intermediaries. Instead, it seeks licenses, documents end users, conducts beneficial-ownership checks, and obtains specialized legal advice. It communicates to employees and customers that compliance and responsible technology use are conditions of the strategy. OutcomeThe staged approach reduces initial exposure and preserves the option to expand. It increases short-term administrative and supplier-qualification costs, but it lowers dependence on a single jurisdiction and makes the project more adaptable. The firm eventually proceeds with expansion only after receiving regulatory clarity and confirming that alternative suppliers meet quality requirements. Learning points- Geopolitical risk is transmitted through technologies, suppliers, data, finance, and customers—not only through borders.
- Compliance must be integrated into strategy rather than treated as a late legal review.
- Staged investment can preserve flexibility under uncertainty.
- Resilience often requires accepting some additional cost or operational complexity.
- Firms should not confuse political access with durable political support.
9. Ethical, Legal, and Governance IssuesInternational firms may face pressure to pay facilitation payments, overlook labor abuses, provide politically connected partners with preferential treatment, or suppress information requested by authorities. These pressures create legal and ethical risks as well as operational vulnerabilities. Good governance requires: - clear anti-bribery policies and controls;
- accurate books and records;
- independent oversight of politically exposed relationships;
- human-rights due diligence;
- transparent lobbying and public-policy engagement;
- whistle-blower protection;
- responsible tax conduct;
- data protection and cybersecurity;
- procedures for remedying harm.
Corporate political activity should be lawful, transparent, and consistent with the firm’s stated values. Lobbying may legitimately communicate technical information to lawmakers, but covert influence, bribery, and disinformation undermine institutional trust. Firms also need to assess whether local partnerships expose them to forced labor, land disputes, corruption, or repression. 10. Practical Framework for ManagersA practical political-risk process can follow seven steps: - Define the decision. Specify the investment, market entry, sourcing, financing, or partnership decision.
- Map stakeholders and institutions. Identify ministries, regulators, courts, parties, local authorities, communities, suppliers, and affected groups.
- Identify exposures. Examine ownership, licensing, taxes, labor, data, technology, logistics, finance, and reputation.
- Analyze scenarios. Develop plausible baseline, adverse, and severe outcomes.
- Estimate consequences. Assess financial loss, delay, safety, legal liability, and strategic effects.
- Select mitigations. Consider diversification, insurance, contractual protections, local expertise, staged investment, compliance controls, and exit options.
- Monitor and update. Assign indicators, thresholds, owners, and review dates.
Managers should avoid four common errors. First, they should not assume that historical stability guarantees future stability. Second, they should not rely on national averages when risk is concentrated in a particular region or sector. Third, they should not treat legal compliance as equivalent to ethical responsibility. Fourth, they should not outsource political judgment entirely to consultants or automated scores. Contemporary DevelopmentsSeveral trends are reshaping the political environment of international business: - stronger use of sanctions and export controls as instruments of statecraft;
- competition over semiconductors, artificial intelligence, critical minerals, and digital infrastructure;
- increasing investment screening on national-security grounds;
- industrial subsidies designed to build domestic production;
- supply-chain diversification and “friend-shoring”;
- data sovereignty and restrictions on cross-border information flows;
- greater scrutiny of corporate human-rights and climate impacts;
- political pressure over migration, jobs, and inequality;
- more frequent use of economic measures in response to conflict.
These developments do not mean that globalization has ended. Rather, globalization is becoming more politically managed, technologically segmented, and sensitive to security concerns. Firms need both international efficiency and institutional adaptability. Chapter SummaryPolitical systems shape international business through participation, accountability, state capacity, legal constraints, and policy predictability. Democracy, authoritarianism, federalism, and unitary government create different combinations of opportunity and risk; none should be judged solely by labels. Political ideologies influence views of rights, equality, national identity, markets, and state ownership. Most economies are mixed systems in which governments regulate markets, own or finance enterprises, purchase goods, and pursue industrial objectives. Industrial policy may build capabilities and resilience, but it can also create inefficiency, rent-seeking, and international retaliation. Political stability concerns the continuity and legitimacy of institutions, not merely the absence of protest. Country-risk analysis should connect political events to concrete business exposures using scenarios, evidence, and clearly assigned monitoring responsibilities. Sanctions and export controls require specialized compliance, including screening, beneficial-ownership analysis, licensing, monitoring, and legal review. Economic nationalism and geopolitical rivalry increasingly affect technology, supply chains, data, finance, energy, and investment. Effective managers map dependencies, diversify critical exposures, stage irreversible commitments, and integrate ethics and governance into political-risk decisions. The central competence is not predicting politics perfectly, but recognizing how political power can alter commercial assumptions and preparing responsible responses. Key TermsPolitical system: Institutions and practices through which collective authority is exercised. Democracy: A system in which citizens participate in selecting political leaders. Authoritarianism: A system characterized by concentrated power and restricted political competition. Rule of law: The principle that public and private actors are subject to publicly established law. Federal state: A state dividing constitutional authority between national and subnational governments. Political ideology: Ideas about authority, rights, equality, order, and the role of government. Mixed economy: An economy combining market allocation with government regulation and intervention. Government–business relationship: The reciprocal interaction between public authorities and firms. Industrial policy: Government action intended to influence economic structure, capabilities, or strategic sectors. Political stability: Continuity and legitimacy of political institutions and orderly political change. Political risk: The possibility that political events or decisions will adversely affect business activity. Country risk: Combined political, economic, legal, social, and security exposure associated with a country. Economic nationalism: Policies prioritizing national ownership, employment, capabilities, or strategic control. Strategic autonomy: The capacity to make critical decisions without excessive external dependence. Sanctions: Restrictions imposed to influence states, entities, or individuals. Export controls: Legal restrictions on transferring specified goods, technologies, or services. Geopolitics: The study of how geography and power shape international relations. Supply-chain resilience: The ability of a supply network to anticipate, absorb, and recover from disruption. Scenario analysis: Examination of multiple plausible future conditions and their consequences. Political exposure map: A structured representation of how political developments affect a firm’s activities. Review QuestionsShort Answer Questions- What is the difference between a political system and a political ideology?
- Identify two ways in which a government can act as a business partner or market participant.
- What distinguishes macro-political risk from micro-political risk?
- Define economic nationalism and give two examples of its instruments.
- Why should firms use scenario analysis in political-risk assessment?
Long Answer Questions- Compare the implications of democratic and authoritarian systems for international business. Include both potential advantages and risks.
- Explain how industrial policy can promote economic development while also creating inefficiency or international conflict.
- Discuss the main channels through which geopolitical rivalry affects multinational enterprises.
- Explain the legal and managerial requirements of an effective sanctions-compliance program.
- Evaluate the relationship between political stability, rule of law, and investment decisions.
Analytical / Application Questions- A foreign investor is considering a manufacturing plant in a federal country where national policy is favorable but the proposed region has unstable local politics. Develop a political-risk assessment and recommend risk-mitigation measures.
- A technology firm faces conflicting export-control and data-localization requirements in three markets. Construct a decision framework that balances compliance, resilience, cost, and market access.
- Using the illustrative NovaCore case, explain why staged investment may be superior to either immediate full investment or complete withdrawal under geopolitical uncertainty.
Multiple Choice Questions with AnswersQuestion 1Which characteristic most directly concerns whether government decisions are limited by courts, constitutions, or oversight bodies? A. Participation B. Constraint C. Capacity D. Nationalism Correct Answer: B. Constraint Question 2A country has private firms, public regulation, taxation, and state-owned enterprises. Which economic-system description best fits it? A. Pure command economy B. Pure market economy C. Mixed economy D. Non-economic system Correct Answer: C. Mixed economy Question 3Which is an example of industrial policy? A. A firm changing its logo B. A government providing research and development grants to a strategic sector C. A household changing its consumption pattern D. A bank independently adjusting its branch hours Correct Answer: B. A government providing research and development grants to a strategic sector Question 4What is the main purpose of scenario analysis in political-risk management? A. To guarantee an accurate political forecast B. To replace legal compliance procedures C. To examine plausible outcomes and prepare responses D. To eliminate all uncertainty from investment decisions Correct Answer: C. To examine plausible outcomes and prepare responses Question 5A sanctions program that freezes the assets of named individuals is best described as what type? A. Targeted sanction B. Universal subsidy C. Local-content rule D. Industrial tariff Correct Answer: A. Targeted sanction Question 6Which activity is most directly associated with sanctions compliance? A. Screening counterparties and checking beneficial ownership B. Increasing advertising expenditure C. Reducing product packaging D. Changing the company’s organizational logo Correct Answer: A. Screening counterparties and checking beneficial ownership Question 7If an adverse event has an estimated probability of 0.2 and a potential loss of $5 million, what is the expected loss under the stated scenario assumptions? A. $0.2 million B. $1 million C. $5.2 million D. $25 million Correct Answer: B. $1 million Question 8Which statement best describes economic nationalism? A. A policy of avoiding all government intervention B. A preference for national control or capability in selected economic activities C. A requirement that all firms become charities D. A system in which prices are prohibited Correct Answer: B. A preference for national control or capability in selected economic activities Question 9Why can federal systems create additional complexity for international firms? A. They eliminate all local governments B. They may produce different rules and taxes across regions C. They prohibit foreign investment by definition D. They guarantee identical regulation everywhere Correct Answer: B. They may produce different rules and taxes across regions Question 10In the NovaCore case, why was staged investment selected? A. It ignored export-control requirements B. It preserved flexibility while reducing irreversible exposure C. It guaranteed that geopolitical conflict would end D. It eliminated the need for supplier qualification Correct Answer: B. It preserved flexibility while reducing irreversible exposure
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